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• New Trend line target

  Created: Saturday, 03 September 2011 13:42 Author: Administrator

  In light of a shortened trading week due to the Labor day Holiday and a week economic calendar, I think we will see some more traditional range this week. However i would not discount a turnultuous end of the week on the job numbers. We correctly sized ...

• The Jackson Hole was empty

  Created: Saturday, 27 August 2011 12:15 Author: Administrator

  The fact that the Jackson Hole summit failed to deliver did not puzzle the bulls. It felt they just felt relieved no bad news was announced and charged upward on Friday as if they knew it all along. Even when it pulled back mid day, the bulls caught it up...

• Bear rally is over!!

  Created: Saturday, 20 August 2011 11:45 Author: Administrator

  The Bear Rally is over!! A Bear rally occurs as a countertrend action. The 2008 sell-off sets the major trend downwards and the rally from 666 was the retrracement of the sell-off. However this sell-off was itself a major retracement of a multi-year bull...

• The Bull's Mission

  Created: Saturday, 21 May 2011 10:32 Author: Administrator

  This is certainly no secret the bull's mission this coming week is to let the gap fill at 1312.70 before returning to action. The volume has been drifting lower since the begining the month, very likely under the pressure of sell in May and go away. The...

• Chop into the Options Expirations

  Created: Saturday, 14 May 2011 11:30 Author: Administrator

  Another down week for the S&P 500 terminating in a gravestone Doji, is hardly what we want to see. The correction from 1370 does not appear complete and the economic data coming into the week , mostly housing, feds minutes and unemployment, are not li...

• Sell in May, and go ...

  Created: Saturday, 07 May 2011 13:56 Author: J-P

  Sell in May and go away? ... or not? After the first week, the market seems to follow its perenial pattern of profit taking and pause. Ater making a new high right of the open of the first trading day of the month, we have seen selling throughout the we...

• IT IS A BEAR RALLY AFTERALL!

  Created: Saturday, 30 April 2011 18:16 Author: Administrator

  The bulls are back in charge and while we have been approaching the targets I established last week; the actions of these past 2 months caused me to revisit my Elliott wave count. I revisited a suggestion I had made back in February and after much deliber...

• Backing up!

  Created: Saturday, 23 April 2011 10:34 Author: Administrator

  Well, as hinted last week, i found myself having to revert to the EW count from the march time frame. The EW count has certainly been difficult lately and although I am reverting my prior thoughts I still have a difficult time validating the wave 3:5 coun...

• IHS at the top

  Created: Saturday, 16 April 2011 11:41 Author: Administrator

  I first want to thank all our members for allowing me the past week off to take care of my wife and I also want to thank you for your well wishes and prayers. While I did not do a commentary last week, it is very likely it would have looked a lot like th...

• Bearly Bullish

  Created: Saturday, 02 April 2011 14:13 Author: Administrator

  The Market finished another month last week and we are still left wondering about direction. I named this week commentary "Bearly Bullish" just as I could have called it " Bullishly Bearish" since it is everyone's guess at the present time. ... and do not...

• A quick update!

  Created: Sunday, 27 March 2011 09:12 Author: J-P

  I said I was going to take the weekend off to celebrate my birthday with my family, however I took a quick look at the charts and could not resolve myself to not publish a commentary. The Elliott Wave count has become so tricky that I thought I would pr...

• Rally Rollover??

  Created: Saturday, 19 March 2011 12:41 Author: J-P

  Has the rally lost its steam? Are we Done? Has the wave 5 terminated? Have the events in Japan, North Africa and the Middle-East been the catalyst to a market correction? These are the questions I am trying to answer in my video commentary this week. Â...

• Past the Tsunami

  Created: Saturday, 12 March 2011 12:03 Author: J-P

  Tsunami Aftermath (click the link) . Wow! After watching these pictures, I can only bow my head and reflect on the losses the Japanese people are enduring right now. My heart also goes out to the people of Hawaii who are also suffering the effect of the t...

• Drum Roll Please

  Created: Saturday, 05 March 2011 10:23 Author: J-P

  Drum Roll Please!!  As usual the market closed the week on an undecision point. However there may be more to it this week than other weeks. If you have been following my commentary for some time, you know I have not been shy about declaring a bias, w...

• DIP BUYER BEWARE!!

  Created: Saturday, 26 February 2011 13:02 Author: J-P

  On the heels of major unrest in the Middle East, and mostly in Lybia, the 12th oil producer in the world, the bears came roaring back. The selling volume was approximately 30% to 40% higher than the previous weeks and the S&P 500 gave back approximete...

• Anticipation with no Participation

  Created: Saturday, 19 February 2011 15:16 Author: J-P

  There is plenty of anticipation of a much needed pull back but the participation in Selling is virtually nill. The bulls continue to take every opportunity to buy and push the indices higher. The volume on the NYSE has been weak all month of February and ...

• My Bear Valentine!!

  Created: Saturday, 12 February 2011 13:08 Author: J-P

  Valentine Day week has traditionally and statistically been a bearish one. Could it be different this time? The market has gone higher on seemingly good news, especially on the job market front, earnings and buyout/takeovers. However the keen eye and trad...

• Where does W5 ends?

  Created: Friday, 28 January 2011 17:15 Author: J-P

    Well you may have already have heard them all calling the end of this last wave 5. I would shrug it off if it was not the 5th wave of a larger wave 5 representing the end of the rally of the lows of March 2009. Yes the party may be about to take a rec...

• Is 13 a lucky number?

  Created: Saturday, 22 January 2011 15:44 Author: J-P

  Is 13 a lucky number?   what about 1300? ... or 1313?  Well we should learn about this fairly soon. Combine a week with economic data like consumer confidence on Tuesday , New home sales , crude inventories and FOMC rate decision on Wednes...

• Will Santa call??

  Created: Saturday, 11 December 2010 13:42 Author: J-P

  {wmv}j-p/WMV/commentary-12-12-2010{/wmv} Thank you for the feedback about liking the script of the video. Here is this week's script. Can the Feds' magic  overcome the Technical's and  the triple witching Friday and ......